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Twenty six words put R first and A third, and sixty two percent of them have E in the second box. This is the REA pattern with a few exceptions attached.
E takes the second box in sixteen of the twenty six words. O follows on six and I on three. Only four letters appear there at all.
That is a narrow opening by any standard. Knowing the first letter is R and the third is A, assuming E in between is right more often than not.
It does not help much afterwards. Inside the REA branch the fourth box is wide open, with eleven letters appearing across the pattern.
REACH, REACT, READY and REALM are the ones in ordinary use. REAPS, REARS and ROADS fill out the common ground.
Watch the near pairs. REACH and REACT differ in one box, as do READS and READY. Guessing two from the same stem is a wasted turn.
S ends eleven of the twenty six, forty two percent, the strongest single signal on the page. Most are plurals or present tense forms, so ruling out a plural removes a large slice at once.
They share three letters and split at the fourth box. ROAST is the more common word, so lead with it and keep ROADS for later.
Yes. It runs R, E, A, C, T, so the R is first and the A is third. The E between them puts it in the largest branch here.
R followed by a consonant almost never lands an A in the third box. The vowel has to come first, and only E, O and I manage it with any regularity.