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One hundred eighty nine words start with CO, and the fourth box is an E in more than a quarter of them.
R takes the third box in twenty one of the one hundred eighty nine, M in twenty, N in seventeen and O in seventeen. Twenty four letters appear there in total.
That spread is too wide to guess into. The fourth box is the useful one, with E taking fifty one words, twenty seven percent.
COULD, COUNT, COVER, COAST and COLOR are the entries a puzzle is most likely to want, with COURT, COMES and COMIC behind them.
Pinning two letters usually cuts a page hard. Here it leaves one hundred eighty nine words across twenty four third letter branches, none holding more than eleven percent.
CO also works as a prefix, so many entries share nothing beyond the opening pair. COACT, COEDS and COHOG are unrelated to each other in every way that matters.
So treat the CO confirmation as two letters and nothing more, and put your guesses into the last two boxes.
S closes fifty one of the one hundred eighty nine, twenty seven percent, with Y on twenty five and E on seventeen. COULD tests none of those, which makes it a clean first guess.
They share three letters and split at the fourth box. COULD is the more common word and its D ending appears on fewer entries here.
Twenty four letters appear in the third box and the leader takes only twenty one words. There is no branch large enough to aim at.
Twenty nine, which is fifteen percent. COBBY, COCCI and COOED are the shapes behind most of it.