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Fifty five words put M first and L third, and every vowel opens the second box in near equal numbers.
I takes the second box in fourteen words, A in thirteen, O in eleven, U in nine and E in seven. With fifty five words spread across branches that evenly, no single guess there cuts much.
Ten words repeat a letter and nearly all double the L. MALLS, MELLS, MILLS, MOLLY, MOLLS, MULLA and MULLS all do it, and most differ only in the last box.
MOLAR, MELON, MILER, MALES and MOLES are the useful words that avoid the double. They spread across several vowels and several endings, which makes any of them a better opening than a doubled L word.
S closes twenty of the fifty five, thirty six percent, with Y and A on seven each. That is the only figure on the page decisive enough to act on, so rule out a plural before touching the second box.
MELON or MOLAR. Both are common, both avoid the doubled L, and between them they test two vowels and two endings.
The short stems MAL, MEL, MIL, MOL and MUL all accept a second L before a plural or a Y. That produces the same shape across every vowel branch.
To fine someone, or to swindle them out of money. It sits in the U branch beside MULCH and is the harder of the two to spot.